復通

HK http://www.speedtest.net/result/569205193.png

Seattle http://www.speedtest.net/result/569214580.png


搬了家, 昨天才裝好寬頻.
用的是smartone,
羊腸小徑當然比不上康莊大道.
速度? 立此存照.

最後一夜

最後一夜 (唱: 蔡琴)

踩不完惱人的舞步　喝不盡醉人醇酒
良夜有誰為我留　耳邊語輕柔
走不完紅男綠女　看不盡人海沉浮
往事有誰為我數　空對華燈愁
我也曾陶醉在兩情相悅　像飛舞中的彩蝶
我也曾心碎於黯然離別　哭倒在露濕台階
紅燈將滅酒也醒　此刻該向它告別
曲終人散回頭一瞥　唔……最後一夜

蘇州河邊

（陳歌辛）

夜，留下一片寂寞　
河邊不見人影一個
我挽著你，你挽著我
暗的街上來往走著

夜，留下一片寂寞　
河邊只見我們兩個
星星在笑，風兒在妒
輕輕吹起我的衣角

我們走著迷失了方向　
盡在暗的河邊徬徨
不知是世界離棄我們　
還是我們把他遺忘

夜，留下一片寂寞　
世上只有我們兩個
我望著你，你望著我　
千言萬語變作沉默

model life table

怎樣描述數據.

例一

technical note 88
30-year mean rainfall in Hong Kong 1961-1990
M.C. Ng & K.P. Wong
http://www.hko.gov.hk/publica/pubtn.htm



例二

(From Roman Empire, OUP VSI, p.104-105)

The `model life table' most commonly applied to the Roman empire is conventionally known as `Model West, level 3'. It assumes both a stationary population (that is, with a zero growth rate and a constant age structure) and one stable over time (that is, without the effects of either migration or plague). The two columns on the left in Figure 19 track a notional cohort of 100,000 females at five-year intervals from birth to age 85. The third column gives the average remaining life expectancy at those same five-year intervals. The fourth column gives the percentage of the population in each age group.


Fig. 19: Model Life Table, West level 3, Female

[A] Age
[C] 100,000 Cohort
[E] Remaining Life Expectancy
[%] % in Age Group

[A]____[C]____[E]____[%]
===========================
0___100,000___25.0___3.21
1____69,444___34.9___9.53
5____54,456___40.1__10.53
10___51,156___37.5__10.00
15___48,732___34.2___9.46
20___45,734___31.3___8.81
25___42,231___28.7___8.10
30___38,614___26.1___7.36
35___34,886___23.7___6.62
40___31,208___21.1___5.91
45___27,705___18.4___5.22
50___24,389___15.6___4.52
55___20,661___13.0___3.75
60___16,712___10.4___2.91
65___12,175____8.4___2.03
70____7,934____6.4___1.23
75____4,194____4.9___0.58
80____1,644____3.6___0.19
85______436____2.5___0.04


The patterns are striking. On this model, only half of all babies survive to age 5; the mortality rate is highest in the months immediately after birth, with about one-third of newborns dying before their first birthday. Those who survive to age 5 have, on average, a good prospect of living another 40 years. Such high mortality results in a young population. The average age in Model West, level 3 is 27.3 years for females and 26.2 for males; or, put another way, just over 40% of the population are less than 20, only 4% are 65 years or older. In crude terms, in Roman society the young generally outnumbered the old by somewhere around ten to one; in sharp contrast, this ratio in modern, Westernized societies is under three to one.

There is a plausible match between this demographic model for the Roman world and the best surviving evidence. It is reasonable to assume that the differing ecological conditions around the Mediterranean (arid land, marshes, mountains, plains) would have had an impact on the life expectancy of their particular populations.

句法練習

「身為二十世紀最暢銷的小說家之一，著作在全球銷售超過兩億本的意識流作家艾琳馬可維琪在上個月再度推出新書......」(見諸老貓泊中讀者留言欄)

意識流作家艾琳馬可維琪，是二十世紀最暢銷的小說家之一，著作在全球，銷售超過兩億本。他在上個月再度推出新書......

意識流作家艾琳馬可維琪，上個月再度推出新書。他是二十世紀最暢銷的小說家之一，著作在全球銷售超過兩億本......

月夜

山風吹亂了窗紙上的松痕
吹不散我心頭的人影

(胡適《秘魔崖月夜》)